Paper 2 · per-game results

Carnival

The exact ground truth for this ROM and how every interpretability method scores against it — one of the 42 scored games. Every number is read from site_data.json (games.carnival).

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Carnival screen

Ground truth

External label source
OCAtari
Verified causal labels
17
Labels that move a sprite
12
Scorable (enough true causes)
yes
Position regime
yes — a moving tracked sprite at this frame

The screenshot is the exact analysis frame the ground truth is computed on. Labels are imported (AtariARI / OCAtari) then verified causally on the bit-exact machine.

Every method's faithfulness on Carnival

Each XAI / mechanistic-interpretability method's faithfulness on this ROM, sorted by F (click a header to re-sort). The left border marks the tradition: green = causal / intervention, red = gradient / correlational, amber = other — the split the paper's headline turns on. F is all-regime; content-F and position-F are the two output regimes (n/a where this game has no record for that regime).

MethodFamilyF (all)content-Fposition-FSM
A2 · Single-unit lesionscausal / intervention1.000n/an/a0.4641.000
A8 · Whole-state recordingdescriptive1.000n/an/a1.0000.117
Activation patching / causal mediationcausal / intervention1.000n/a1.0001.0000.975
Causal scrubbingcausal / intervention1.000n/an/a1.0000.667
Interchange interventions / DAScausal / intervention1.000n/an/a1.0000.895
Attribution / edge patchinggradient / correlational0.998n/an/a0.9511.000
Logit / tuned lenscausal / intervention0.975n/an/an/a0.168
Path patching / IOI circuitcausal / intervention0.667n/an/an/a1.000
Occlusioncausal / intervention0.4990.9990.0000.5261.000
Extremal / meaningful perturbationcausal / intervention0.4720.9450.0000.5001.000
Grad×Input / DeepLIFTgradient / correlational0.4690.9380.0000.5261.000
Linear probing + control tasksprobing0.419n/an/an/a1.000
KernelSHAP / Shapleygradient / correlational0.4140.8270.0000.4470.403
On-distribution counterfactualcausal / intervention0.3830.7660.0000.4741.000
ACDC — automatic circuit discoverycausal / intervention0.364n/an/a0.2221.000
LIMEgradient / correlational0.3310.6610.0000.4740.403
RISEgradient / correlational0.3300.6610.0000.4740.403
A4 · Pairwise correlationsgradient / correlational0.254n/an/a0.2440.178
A1 · Connectomics / data-flow graphcausal / intervention0.200n/an/a0.9971.000
A7 · Dimensionality reduction (NMF/PCA)dim_reduction0.200n/an/an/an/a
A6 · Granger causalitygradient / correlational0.118n/an/a0.9741.000
A3 · Tuning curvesgradient / correlational0.000n/an/a-0.0281.000
NMF/PCA dictionariesdim_reduction0.000n/an/a0.9861.000
Expected Gradientsgradient / correlational0.0000.0000.0000.5261.000
Guided Backpropgradient / correlational0.0000.0000.0000.5001.000
Integrated Gradientsgradient / correlational0.0000.0000.0000.5261.000
Sparse autoencodersdim_reduction0.000n/an/a-0.1121.000
Vanilla gradient (saliency)gradient / correlational0.0000.0000.0000.5261.000
SmoothGradgradient / correlational0.0000.0000.0000.5261.000

Source: site_data.json · generated by gen_site_data.py from the committed §R records + leaderboard.json.